Coronavirus Impacts in the CRE Market

As we predicted, the coronavirus sparked a meteoric drop in the stock market last week, including a more than 4,000-point plunge in the Dow. The question now is how much of that contagion will spill over to impact commercial real estate? So far, CRE capital markets have been less reactionary than the stock market. Lenders have widened spreads to reflect the volatility and heightened risks, but capital is still flowing. For example, CMBS spreads have widened about 15-20 basis points at ... Read more

Side Effect of Coronavirus: The Great Stock Market Crash and Recession of 2020

A deep economic recession, triggered by a stock market crash, looms over 2020 for 2 reasons: (1) the stock market has not factored into pricing the impact of the Coronavirus, and (2) diminished corporate stock buybacks during falling earnings are leaving the market unsupported and employees vulnerable to massive layoffs. Although stocks have thus far resisted coronavirus concerns, commodities have not. The demand for oil has collapsed following the outbreak, and the price is trailing.  China is the world’s second largest ... Read more

Best Financing Available Anywhere

Fantastic Financing by Regal Properties! JUST FUNDED -- Neighborhood Shopping Center Loan in Visalia, CA! $5,730,000 Loan 3.85% Fixed for 10 years Interest-only for 10 years 30-year amortization Non-recourse! Read more

Overleveraged — Corporations vs Commercial Real Estate

Many corporations continue to binge on cheap debt to inflate their stock prices -- enriching their current executives and shareholders at the expense of future growth and earnings.  However, when interest rates inevitably rise and/or earnings fall, stock prices will plummet and workers (i.e. consumers) will be fired so those companies can continue paying the interest to avoid default on their debt. This explains why the Fed keeps dropping the rates despite full employment ... Read more

What Does California’s New Rent Control Mean?

California lawmakers passed a statewide rent control bill to address a worsening housing crisis in the state where millions of people are paying more than half their monthly income in rent.  The bill is meant to address rising costs in cities like San Francisco, where rent has risen steadily for years and peaked at 6% annual growth in 2015, according to CoStar Analytics.  The bill affects an estimated 8 million renters as it prohibits landlords from hiking rents more ... Read more

TOP 10 REASONS TO EXPECT A RECESSION IN 2020

Recession indicators which overwhelmingly signal a major economic slowdown brought on by slower growth abroad and Trump’s escalating trade war with China include: The U.S. bond market and the inverted yield curve -- the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note has fallen below the 2-year yield multiple times in the last month, and this inversion has preceded the last 7 recessions. Gross domestic product in the U.S. is slowing. The economy expanded by 2% in the second ... Read more

Amazon Kills and Then Revives Malls as Fulfillment Centers

Online retailer Amazon has spent the past two decades luring shoppers out of stores and onto the internet, leading a retail transformation resulting in a wake of dead malls. Now the Seattle-based company is buying more of those empty shopping centers, converting them into warehouses for processing deliveries to consumer doorsteps.  The company plans to open two more Ohio warehouses, including one at the site of a closed mall in Akron, the third shopping center in northeastern Ohio the company has ... Read more

Housing Bubble Burst Ahead?

Data from the National Association of Realtors suggests a housing bubble may be on the verge or bursting in some markets, like coastal California. Overall, U.S. home prices in the second quarter were up 4.3% vs. a year earlier to $279,600, with 16 markets posting declines. That’s a slight appreciation dip from averaging 5.5% annual gains in 2016-2018, a period when just eight U.S. markets were losers.  Silicon Valley prices in California took the nation’s second-biggest loss in the quarter: a ... Read more

Regal Properties Represents 5 TIC Exchange Buyers of Strong Credit Retail Center in SoCal for 8.37% Cap

Regal Properties represented 5 TICs in multiple 1031 exchanges in the recent purchase of a 54,750 square foot shopping center, predominantly leased by national credit tenants, located within the desired Southern California retail market of Hemet.  The below replacement cost price of $8,600,000 equates to an 8.37% cap rate with a 13% leveraged cash on cash return for a high-performing retail center shadow anchored by Stater Bros Supermarket (NAP), a regionally dominant grocer, and junior anchored by CVS and Dollar Tree.  ... Read more

2019 Housing Outlook

Expect housing in 2019 to be flat. The recent decline in mortgage rates from 5% to 4% for the 30-year-fixed provides some support for housing.  However, the tax-law change, which took away many of the tax benefits of homeownership, weighs on demand. The impact of the new tax law is still filtering through the housing market, particularly in more expensive markets like California, and Florida, where those tax benefits are more important. Affordability remains an issue. The runup in house prices over ... Read more
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