San Diego County Apartments in 2017

The San Diego regional economy remains healthy, posting its 5th straight year of positive job growth, with unemployment currently at only 4.2%. The regional apartment market remains strong for investors -- with rents forecasted to have sustained growth of 3%-5% and vacancy rates forecasted to hold steady at 5% county-wide in 2017 -- due to high demand for rental housing. Buyer demand remains strong as investors and 1031 exchangers search for both turnkey and ... Read more

Rising Interest Rates & Rising Cap Rates in 2017

In 2017, the Federal Reserve Board projects at least three interest rate hikes of 0.25% each; and cap rates are expected to increase by 100 basis points. Be careful with low cap rate investments!     Read more

Trump’s Impact on Homes

The US real estate market anticipates at least two economic policies will occur as a result of the Trump election: (1) the lowering of corporate tax rates and (2) deregulation of the capital markets.  Beneficiaries of such changes include the banks, all incorporated businesses, and owners of high-priced homes. The increase in after-tax earnings retention has already caused the stock market to rally since the election. Not surprisingly, mortgage applications have already declined by nearly 10%. ... Read more

Can Real Estate Now Be Used for Marijuana Business?

Although many states have legalized marijuana, the possession, distribution, and cultivation of marijuana remains illegal under the federal Controlled Substances Act. Because federal law still prohibits the use or sale of marijuana, any individual or business providing services to marijuana-related businesses (MRBs) could be subject to criminal charges for aiding and abetting, or conspiracy.  The receipt or transfer of proceeds from the sale of marijuana, such as rent from an MRB tenant, is a violation ... Read more

Pop-Up Store Leasing Provides Opportunity for Small Businesses

Small and start-up business entrepreneurs have the opportunity to test, market and sell their products and services in a retail mall or shopping center, with minimal lease liability, through pop-up store leasing. Increasingly more malls and shopping centers now lease to "pop-up" stores for periods as short as 30 days, even during the busiest time of year for retail shopping. In fact, many shopping centers now have space allocated year-round for pop-up stores, as a ... Read more

How To Pay No Income Tax for 18 Years While Making $1,000,000,000

The US Tax Code gives real estate developers and managers special tax breaks and benefits not available to others, allowing a certain presidential candidate to pay no income taxes for decades while profiting to the tune of almost $1 Billion.  Here’s how: Let’s say a fellow named Donald buys a property for $1 billion, using only $300,000 of his own money and financing $999,700,000 with a bank (subsequently bailed out by taxpayers).  When the ... Read more

Office Space Trend

According to CEL & Associates, as of 2016, only 10 of the top 50 occupations with the most job openings require any office space; and over 40% of the U.S. workforce telecommutes.  The average white-collar worker spends only 30% of his or her time working in an office, and the average individual workspace is occupied only 55% of the time in a normal work week. The average U.S. tenant has 33% of its space ... Read more

San Diego’s Housing Shortage Means Rising Prices and Rents

San Diego County has a severe housing shortage caused by the inability to bring to market new single-family or multi-family units, which will likely continue for the foreseeable future. The result will be continued price increases in the sale and rental of homes. Those few units which can be developed will be located far from the locale of present and future jobs, resulting in longer commutes, greater congestion and increasing employee and employer dissatisfaction. ... Read more

Negative Interest Rate Policy – Paid to Borrow & Charged to Save?

Ever hear of a monetary policy by which companies and households get paid to borrow and charged to save money?  Seemingly crazy, this negative interest rate policy (“NIRP”) continues to spread around the globe much like a virus, having already infected central banks in Europe, Japan and other countries accounting for 25% of the global economy. (Thus far, Federal Reserve Chair Yellen has indicated no plans to implement a NIRP in the USA.) A negative ... Read more

2016 Third Quarter Review for San Diego CRE

Interest rates and cap rates remain low Inflation and unemployment remain low at about 2% and 5%, respectively New tech jobs are coming as Google and Bizness Apps locate facilities in San Diego Despite low interest rates, low vacancy rates, and rising rents – record high prices, low cap rates and fears of a potential downturn have begun to hamper CRE investment. We still see promising (and less risky) opportunity in certain sectors though, ... Read more
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